Cairn Guides & ToolsCairn Guides & Tools

Fall Risk Check (Cairn) – Reduce Falls

Estimate risk for the current section (0–100) and get immediate actions to reduce falls in Cairn.
Feb 2, 2026

TL;DR

Answer 6 quick questions → get a risk score and top 3 drivers, plus what to do now.

1) Risk factors

  • Consequence (how bad a fall is here)
  • Move size (big moves vs small moves)
  • Hold confidence
  • Stamina margin
  • Pack weight
  • Protection coverage

2) Output

  • Risk level: Low / Medium / High / Critical
  • Score: 0–100
  • Top 3 drivers

3) Do this now

  • Reduce move size
  • Switch to safer holds
  • Add protection before the commitment point

4) Plan adjustments

  • Adjust route plan
  • Reduce pack weight
  • Change pacing strategy
  • Help I’m Stuck → diagnose falling loop
  • Stamina Pacing → stabilize rhythm
  • Piton Budget → smarter protection

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